Customs: Simple call was enough for Trump brake … until July 9

Donald Trump is convinced: The United States was “too good, too long”. They offered their markets, stability and consumers to a greedy world. Result: Used America, traded by its business partners. This time he would end. Now it is time in brutal balance. And this goes through the favorite weapon of the former president: Customs. In his viewfinder? China, Africa … but especially Europe. Until the phone call changes (almost) everything.

Ursula von der Leyen: Telephone call to save the European economy?

The idea and “Day of liberation”Where the United States would break the chains of its commercial dependence, they were around the world, even on Wall Street and in the cryptovisk. Trump wanted to hit hard. The June 1 He had to mark the turning point. Heard Surchase all European products of 50 %. In Africa, the fear of the domino effect was tangible. In China, Beijing was preparing for new insults and new disturbing economic elections.

In Europe, Ursula von der Leyen won her phone. She called Trump. Result:

I had a good call with President Trump. Europe is ready to progress quickly. To achieve a good agreement we would need time by July 9th.

Trump confirmed: ” Ursula just called me … She asked me late and told me I wanted a serious negotiation. »»

Behind Diplomatic formulasIt is an unexpected customs ceasefire. AND Five -week stayobtained without warning. Performance for von der Leyen, due to the tone of Bellicos, which Trump accepted two days ago.

Europe threatened withdrawal: When a trade war borders on a rupture

The European economy was preparing for counterattack. Faced to the announced surcharges, Brussels drew A list of targeted American products. Potential value of repression: 116 billion euros. Wine, cars, aircraft or American pharmacies were in sight.

Ursula von der Leyen, in a ceremonial press release, pointed out:

The announced prices will have huge consequences. The global economy will suffer.

Evoked An immediate increase in price for citizensEspecially the most vulnerable.

Trump repeated that Trump repeated it ” The EU has been created to use the United States “And hammered it” America does not want an agreement, only justice ». Surcharges already pay – 25 % on steel and aluminum – He remained intact. 20 % “reciprocal rate” was announced before suspension.

The trade war was no longer a threat. It became immediate. In this context, European negotiators have reproduced exchange to avoid climbing Who would shake the economy of both blocks.

Subis or permanent peace? What are the following reserves for the transatlantic economy

Today there is uncertain peace. The deadline of June 1 was postponed. The new date takes place until 9 July. This rest does not guarantee anything. Trump has already threatened to revive prices. Maros Šefčovič, European Commissioner, warned:

Transatlantic trade must be followed by mutual respect, not threats.

Trump blows hot and cold. Describes the call of ursula as’ very pleasant “But Castigates” European bureaucratic slowness ». Negotiation continues. However, the economy remains suspended from every presidential tweet.

Key characters you remember:

• The US-EU trade deficit was $ 236 billion in 2024;
• Europe threatened EUR 116 billion in customs reprisals;
• Valid rights include 25 % of steel, aluminum and 10 % on all imports;
• A surcharge of 50 % was mentioned for all European products, which immediately influenced the price of bitcoins and then suspended.

This stay maintains more doubts than security. The European economy, which has been adopted in Svěrák between threats and diplomacy, must maintain its interests without climbing. Behind the characters it is the war of stories that are played. Washington shows its strength, Brussels plays a watch. In order to avoid this main economic relationship in the transition to chaos, some in Brussels are beginning to evoke another track: overturning to BRICS. A strategic alternative that could redistribute cards around the world.

Renunciation

The words and opinions expressed in this article are involved only by their author and should not be considered investment counseling. Do your own research before any investment decision.